The Brewers announced that they would shut down RHP Junior Guerra for the year. Yesterday, BPMilwaukee’s Jack Moore covered Guerra’s pitching profile and rookie season. Although Guerra played his age-31 season, he is relatively new to baseball as a full-time starting pitcher; the righty pitched one of his highest career innings totals, reaching an apparent […]
Author: Nicholas Zettel
Age in the Minors: Southern League
Now that the affiliated minor leagues are finished with their regular season games, I would like to investigate the context of minor league statistics in order to determine whether (or how) such statistics present meaningful information. Minor league statistics are extremely difficult to judge at a surface glance, since one may not know a player’s […]
Revising Replacement Theory
“These problems, as contrasted with the disorganized situations with which statistics can cope, show the essential feature of organization. We will therefore refer to this group of problems as those of organized complexity.” (Weaver, quoted in Jacobs 432) In 1961, Jane Jacobs published a scathing takedown of modern urban planning, the likes of which graced […]
Good for 80 Games
The Brewers are in the midst of a stunning September surge, one that could potentially find them playing themselves out of a 2017 Top 10 draft pick and — better yet — finding another MLB role from their pile of future values. This surge is stunning because thus far it’s come against the World Champion […]
The Rebuild Is Over
Three days ago, the Brewers rebuilding effort seemed to be making its last stop: veteran left fielder Ryan Braun cleared trade waivers, opening the opportunity for GM David Stearns to trade Braun to one of the contenders clear of his no-trade clause. In the offseason, Braun appeared to be a potential salary dump trade for […]
Timber Rattler Bats
If the Class-A Wisconsin Timber Rattlers are popular among Brewers fans in 2016, it is likely due to the break out season posted by infielder Isan Diaz. Diaz was an “industry prospect” when Milwaukee acquired him, meaning that scouts and baseball operations personnel praised the youngster without that praise resulting in prospect press hype. That’s […]
Timber Rattler Arms
After the storybook season the Class-AA Biloxi Shuckers provided for the 2015 Brewers farm system, the 2016 minor league season might seem like a drag. On the surface, there are fewer prospects taking leaps forward, and some of the most notable prospects in the system are struggling with maximizing their tools. Yet, if the Shuckers […]
Pricing Failed Tanks
Among Brewers fans, there might be approximately four groups: (1) Casual fans that will tune out rebuilding (2) Everyday fans that vocally oppose rebuilding (3) Everyday fans that support rebuilding “as is” (4) Everyday fans that support tanking These distinctions might seem useless, or trivial at best, but nearly every future value decision for the organization will find […]
BP Night at Miller Park
It’s that time of the summer: Baseball Prospectus is once again hosting a night at Miller Park. This event will be perfect for Brewers fans that want to learn more about analysis, analysis fanatics that want to ask questions to front office personnel and BP staff, and — of course — baseball fans who want […]
Investing in Executive Structure
One of the curiosities of the 2016 Brewers rebuild withstood the trade deadline. Mysteries about whether Jonathan Lucroy would be traded (he would), relievers would be traded (they would), starting pitchers would be traded (nope!), any position players would be traded (Aaron Hill), or any top prospects graduated to the MLB (Welcome, Orlando Arcia!) were […]