USATSI_9447931_168381442_lowres

Closing Windows

It’s a common refrain now: the Brewers are finished with their rebuild. In terms of shedding MLB contracts for minor league assets, Milwaukee’s front office is basically done wheelin’ and dealin’. As everyone knows, veteran superstar Ryan Braun is the last remaining true trade chip, and the left fielder appears to be in the organization’s […]

USATSI_9571039_168381442_lowres

Cashing Out OFP

In 2016, MLB owners spent approximately $4 billion on approximately 1065 WARP produced by both batters and pitchers. While the common market assumption prices one additional win above replacement at $7 million on the free market, the vast majority of MLB contracts are not signed on the free market, which drives the cost of WARP […]

USATSI_9349102_168381442_lowres

Assessing Roster Moves IV: Prospect Value

In the previous installment of this series, a reader comment provided an excellent point about judging prospects: monetizing prospect value appears to inflate their potential value, compared to MLB players. That this should not be surprising does not diminish the salience of the point — analysts have much, much more information available about MLB players. Moreover, […]

USATSI_9509870_168381442_lowres

The Rebuild Is Over

Three days ago, the Brewers rebuilding effort seemed to be making its last stop: veteran left fielder Ryan Braun cleared trade waivers, opening the opportunity for GM David Stearns to trade Braun to one of the contenders clear of his no-trade clause. In the offseason, Braun appeared to be a potential salary dump trade for […]

USATSI_9420181_168381442_lowres

Pricing Failed Tanks

Among Brewers fans, there might be approximately four groups: (1) Casual fans that will tune out rebuilding (2) Everyday fans that vocally oppose rebuilding (3) Everyday fans that support rebuilding “as is” (4) Everyday fans that support tanking These distinctions might seem useless, or trivial at best, but nearly every future value decision for the organization will find […]

Brewers Farm Update

On Context and Happiness as Sports Fans

The @JSComments Twitter account is essential for understanding the true feelings of the Wisconsin Sports Fan™. When you need a hot take like “Jeff Janis is basically Randy Moss” or “the Packers should trade Aaron Rodgers for Jay Cutler” or “baseball uniforms are confusing,” @JSComments is there for you. Nearly every Brewer "prospect" is struggling […]