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Villar and Creating Luck

Jonathan Villar’s 2016 breakout was one of the Brewers’ highlights of the year, if not the highlight for the rebuilding club. While the trade involving RHP Cy Sneed and Villar was a valuable move for the Brewers the moment it happened, Villar’s power/speed/discipline explosion exponentially increased the value of that deal. The resulting 4.8 WARP […]

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Jonathan Villar’s Baserunning

Jonathan Villar led the Major Leagues in stolen bases with 62. However, according to Baseball Prospectus’ Baserunning Runs (BRR), Villar actually produced negative value on the base paths this past season. In fact, only Chris Carter created more negative value than Villar amongst non-pitchers. Villar had -2.4 BRR this season, which would put him in […]

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Good for 80 Games

The Brewers are in the midst of a stunning September surge, one that could potentially find them playing themselves out of a 2017 Top 10 draft pick and — better yet — finding another MLB role from their pile of future values. This surge is stunning because thus far it’s come against the World Champion […]