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Chase Anderson: FIP-Beater?

Chase Anderson’s 2018 season has been quite different from his 2017.  His strikeout rate has dropped, his walk rate has risen, his ground ball rate has dropped, and his home run rate has risen.  None of those trends are indicators of success, so it is no surprise that his ERA is almost two runs higher […]

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Using Deserved Run Average

Baseball Prospectus officially released the new Deserved Run Average (DRA) this week, fresh with a new set of improvements, as always. The main site will have more information coming soon to highlight some of the specific methodological tweaks that were made for the latest DRA. In the meantime, the data are here to play with […]

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Trust the Rotation

Entering 2017, the Milwaukee Brewers employed a rotational turn consisting of five righties: Junior Guerra, Zach Davies, Wily Peralta, Chase Anderson, and Jimmy Nelson. Coupled with Matt Garza on the disabled list, this major group was 20 runs below average over 845.3 innings in 2016. The sole positive producers were Guerra and Davies, the former […]

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Last year, amidst some projections that suggested the Milwaukee Brewers would struggle to beat the 70-win mark, PECOTA stuck with bullish preseason estimates in the upper-70s. The deep Brewers roster was also bolstered by high floor developing players like Domingo Santana and Zach Davies, as well as second-chancers like Travis Shaw and Chase Anderson, and […]

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Cain and Yelich: Renegotiating Surplus

The Brewers recently completed two of the biggest moves of the offseason by trading for left fielder Christian Yelich and signing free agent center fielder Lorenzo Cain. These moves are “big” not simply because of the glacial pace of the new MLB collusion, but by virtue of their structure and Milwaukee’s position in the league. […]

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How the Brewers Beat the Cubs

For all the noise about the Cubs’ issues throughout the 2017 season, and there were real issues, the club finished with an offense approximately 73 runs better than Wrigley Field / 2017 National League. While this is quite a decline from the monstrous +103 RS the Cubs posted during their storybook 2016 campaign, there is […]

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Boring Paths

The 2017-2018 offseason winter meetings begin, and the Brewers stand in a bizarre position within a league rocked by the most awaited transactions: The Marlins ownership group’s refusal to capitalize payroll indeed resulted in a bargain bottom deal for Giancarlo Stanton, who will now call the Yankees his team. The….Angels won the Shohei Ohtani sweepstakes, […]