Brewers Farm Update

Midseason 2017 #3: 3 Up 3 Down

The Brewers have graduated four of their 2017 Baseball Prospectus Top Ten prospects to the MLB. Along with that group, rookie Jorge Lopez, a former Baseball Prospectus Top Ten member, also returned to the MLB. If one were to rank the Brewers Top 30, these five would certainly fit within that group, and depending on […]

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Stoked for Carolina

At the beginning of the 2017 minor league baseball season, I wrote that the Carolina Mudcats and their stacked roster should be a team to give your attention to this summer. With four of the Brewers’ top 10 Baseball Prospectus prospects and 10 of Milwaukee’s top 30 prospects (per MLB Pipeline) assigned to the roster to […]

Brewers Farm Update

To Friends He’s Known As Corbin, But to You It’s Mr. Burnes

“I am not necessarily a results-oriented guy.” – Corbin Burnes, February ’17 The 2017 Carolina Mudcats roster is loaded with talent and potential. And despite his self-confessed ambivalence to results, starting pitcher Corbin Burnes has been one of the most impressive producers of the first two months for the Mudcats. Burnes, as you might expect […]

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Minor League Context: April 25

It seemed like only moments ago that the baseball season arrived, but now fans are approaching the end of April and analysts have more than ten percent of a season to consider. This is the time of year where performances creep into the territory where conclusions might be drawn, or at least interesting observations might […]

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2013 Top 10 Lists 3: The Players

Following my overview of the 2013 Baseball Prospectus Top 10 lists, I am presenting a detailed set of lists to showcase the full prospect class. This class features some stunning debuts by elite prospects (such as Carlos Correa), elite prospects morphing into steady MLB regulars (Gerrit Cole, Christian Yelich, and Julio Tehran, for example), and […]

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2013 Top 10 Lists 1: Value and Risk

Lately, two separate research questions have converged in my mind: How do Overall Future Potential (OFP) valuations based on historical MLB performances compare to valuations drawn from actual scouting rankings? What is the short-term performance value that the Brewers can come to expect from their 2017 Baseball Prospectus Top 10? These are two crucial questions. […]

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Cashing Out OFP

In 2016, MLB owners spent approximately $4 billion on approximately 1065 WARP produced by both batters and pitchers. While the common market assumption prices one additional win above replacement at $7 million on the free market, the vast majority of MLB contracts are not signed on the free market, which drives the cost of WARP […]

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Mauricio Dubon: Letting the Game Come

On December 6, 2016, the Milwaukee Brewers and Boston Red Sox struck a deal that sent then-Brewers reliever Tyler Thornburg to the Red Sox for third baseman Travis Shaw and minor leaguers Josh Pennington, Mauricio Dubon, and a PTBNL or cash. Shaw was the headliner in the package the Brewers received, but Dubon was arguably […]

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101 Trends

Yesterday, Baseball Prospectus published the 2017 Top 101 prospects, which was a list that substantiated fan sentiment that Milwaukee has effectively rebuilt the farm system. Notably, the laudable Brewers prospects evenly represent regimes, with President Doug Melvin claiming three of the Brewers’ Top 101, and current GM David Stearns claiming four. Taken in concert with […]