The Brewers won the division 350 times in 2017. 350 times out of 5,000, the Brewers were better than the Cubs, Pirates, Cardinals, and Reds. In the preseason, Baseball Prospectus alumnus Sam Miller published a fun perusal of the PECOTA oddities generated during playoffs odds simulations at ESPN. Of course, the Brewers were hardly on […]
Category: Articles
Travis Shaw: The Brewers MVP
On December 6th, 2016, the Milwaukee Brewers acquired Travis Shaw, Mauricio Dubon, Josh Pennington, and a Player To Be Named Later (Yeison Coca) from the Boston Red Sox in exchange for Tyler Thornburg. At the time, the trade was headlined by Thornburg, who was supposed to bolster the Red Sox bullpen behind Craig Kimbrel. Since […]
How Good is Eric Thames?
Eric Thames was the story of the season for the first month or so. He posted a 1.276 OPS in April, and he looked like a true breakout candidate whose improvements in Korea would carry over in his return to MLB. As he is no longer hitting like peak Barry Bonds, however, he has fallen […]
What is Hernan’s Value?
Hernan Perez looks like an unremarkable ballplayer on the surface. Among Brewers positional players, Baseball Prospectus ranks him in a tie for 8th most valuable WARP (1.1) along with catcher Manny Pina. Compared to left fielders, which is Perez’s majority position in large part due to Ryan Braun’s nagging injuries throughout 2017, the superutility’s Total […]
On Collapse
It feels like half of Milwaukee’s fanbase has been waiting for the sky to fall. After being in first place for a couple months, the novelty of this team of nobodies topping the World Champion Cubs in the division has died down. Especially since the Brewers rode a 5.5 game lead into the All-Star break, […]
Weekend Recap 15: Braun, Suter
The Brewers would like to forget the past week. After starting their ten game road trip getting swept in Pittsburgh, it seemed like a trip to Philadelphia would get the team back on track. Instead, the team lost two of three and saw their division lead evaporate to nothing, Brewers Phillies Friday July 21 1 […]
One Reason to Freak Out About the Losing Streak
It’s no secret that the past week has been a veritable Pennsylvania house of horrors for the Brewers. Between July 15 and July 21, the Brewers went 1-6 against the Keystone State. And while there’s plenty to reassure Brewer fans that this is just part of the ups and downs of every season, one particular component […]
Historical WARP and OFP
Now that the trade deadline is heating up, baseball’s best fan past time is pricing out trades and dreaming up returns for their favorite clubs. Analysts and writers have a tougher line to follow. First and foremost, not only do clubs hide their proprietary player evaluation and analytics systems, they also hide their risk assessment […]
NL Central: Pythagorean Update
As Brewers fans and Cubs fans alike hail the coming inevitability, as the Cubs destroyed an easy stretch of their schedule as the Brewers face the surging Pirates, it’s important to take a look at the full context of the division. It is worth noting, of course, despite the bullpen’s inability to hold several leads […]
World Series Winners
It’s well established that the Brewers are good enough to make the playoffs. They have the fourth best VORP, 201.9, nine points higher than the Cardinals and twenty-six higher than the Cubs. The Brewers DRA of 4.69 sits a respectable sixth in the NL, only 18 points behind the Cardinals and 12 behind the Pirates. […]