Once a player has played for a couple seasons or so at the major-league level, we can conclusively say some things about their abilities, and their shortcomings. With a large enough sample, the Dennis Green Rule goes into effect: Players will be who we thought they were. Jimmy Nelson, for instance, will probably always struggle against left-handers, who […]
Tag: 2016 Brewers
Game 13 Recap: Twins 7 Brewers 4
TOP PLAY (WPA): Coming into the game, Chase Anderson hadn’t allowed a singled run. That, unfortunately for the right-hander and the Brewers, changed pretty rapidly. In the second inning, Anderson threw a pitch right down the middle to Miguel Sano. Sano crushed it on a line for a home run, the first run of the […]
The Post-Sabermetric Value of Aaron Hill
In the modern era, Major League Baseball abhors that which cannot be easily measured or quantified. The 2015 Kansas City Royals were a perfect example of that. PECOTA said they’d be a losing team. Fangraphs said they’d be a losing team. ESPN, well, you get the picture. Only, something funny happened: the Royals instead rolled […]
Ryan Braun’s Explosive Power Show
The Brewers have been awful at the plate this season. In the National League, only the Mets and Phillies have scored fewer than Milwaukee’s 39 runs, and the Mets have played one fewer game. The club’s .213/.310/.349 batting line ranks 27th, 16th, and 22nd in the league respectively. The Brewers can get runners on base, […]
Game 12 Recap: Pirates 9 Brewers 3
Best Play (WPA): With the team in an early 6-0 hole, the Brewers attempted to mount a rally in the fourth inning. Chris Carter singled home Scooter Gennett to score the first run of the game for Milwaukee. Ramon Flores followed that up with a walk to load the bases. After Juan Nicasio goaded Aaron Hill into […]
How Long is Wily Peralta’s Leash?
You’ve seen the numbers. We don’t need to talk about Wily Peralta’s 10.13 ERA, his 5.40 BB/9, or his 2.7 HR/9 this season. You’ve seen the PITCHf/x statistics. We don’t need to talk about the alarming rate at which his whiff rates have decreased, the decline in his GB%, or his troubling inability to keep […]
Game 9 Recap: Cardinals 7 Brewers 0
TOP PLAY (WPA): You might have thought that Grichuk’s home run was the top play of the game. Well, unfortunately, it’s not but we’ll get to that quite soon. The top play of the game instead went to Matt Carpenters double in the second inning. Wily Peralta was in his usual bad form today, leaving […]
The Oddity of Domingo Santana the LeadOff Hitter
We’re seven games into the season and I guess Domingo Santana is the Brewers leadoff hitter. On the Brewers opening day recap, I mentioned this as a trend to watch. The Brewers were also playing against the Giants and Madison Bumgarner, therefore, Derek Harvey of Brew Crew Ball and I theorized that this might be […]
Game 8 Recap: Brewers 6 Cardinals 4
Top Play (WPA): No surprise here, but the top play in terms of win probability was Domingo Santana’s home run off Cardinals closer Trevor Rosenthal in the top of the ninth inning (+.490). After a solid, methodical offensive performance that saw four separate two-out hits drive in four runs, Brandon Moss hit a Michael Blazek […]
Wily Peralta’s Discouraging Start
To anyone who has watched or followed the first several Brewers’ games, Wily Peralta’s stat line will not be a surprise: two starts, 8.1 innings, and eleven runs. He has struck out six and walked six, which is a terrible ratio on both counts. But pitchers get off to bad starts, and their basic peripherals […]