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When PECOTA Picked the Brewers

The Brewers won the division 350 times in 2017. 350 times out of 5,000, the Brewers were better than the Cubs, Pirates, Cardinals, and Reds. In the preseason, Baseball Prospectus alumnus Sam Miller published a fun perusal of the PECOTA oddities generated during playoffs odds simulations at ESPN. Of course, the Brewers were hardly on […]

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What is Hernan’s Value?

Hernan Perez looks like an unremarkable ballplayer on the surface. Among Brewers positional players, Baseball Prospectus ranks him in a tie for 8th most valuable WARP (1.1) along with catcher Manny Pina. Compared to left fielders, which is Perez’s majority position in large part due to Ryan Braun’s nagging injuries throughout 2017, the superutility’s Total […]

Brewers Farm Update

Historical WARP and OFP

Now that the trade deadline is heating up, baseball’s best fan past time is pricing out trades and dreaming up returns for their favorite clubs. Analysts and writers have a tougher line to follow. First and foremost, not only do clubs hide their proprietary player evaluation and analytics systems, they also hide their risk assessment […]