For an MLB player, value has two elements: Production: A player can be considered valuable based on how well they perform on the field. Alternately, as advanced statistics and analytical tools emerge, a player can be considered valuable based on their underlying elements — stuff, mechanics, plate approach, command, etc. Both of these metrics, traditional […]
Tag: Zach Davies
Zach Davies is the True 2016 Brewers Ace
According to ESPN.com, Zach Davies isn’t scheduled to make another start. Thus, ends his rookie season. Davies finished the year with a 4.35 RA9, 3.89 FIP, and 3.95 xFIP. None of these numbers will stand out; in fact, these numbers suggest that Davies had a mundane rookie campaign. But, Davies has a DRA of 3.56. […]
Good for 80 Games
The Brewers are in the midst of a stunning September surge, one that could potentially find them playing themselves out of a 2017 Top 10 draft pick and — better yet — finding another MLB role from their pile of future values. This surge is stunning because thus far it’s come against the World Champion […]
Game 137: Cubs 7 Brewers 2
Top Play (WPA): The top play of this occurred in the seventh inning. Before that inning started, the game was tied at one a piece. Thus far, it was a good pitching duel between Zach Davies and Kyle Hendricks. In the seventh, though, the Cubs started pulling away. However, the seventh started off well for […]
The Two Red Flags for Zach Davies
While many of the promising current Brewers arrived in Milwaukee during David Stearns’s tenure, one of the best came on in Doug Melvin’s last hurrah. Gerardo Parra sustained a ridiculously fluky, in retrospect if not at the time, hot streak to start the 2015 season. Melvin capitalized on that, flipping him to a thirsty Orioles […]
Pricing Failed Tanks
Among Brewers fans, there might be approximately four groups: (1) Casual fans that will tune out rebuilding (2) Everyday fans that vocally oppose rebuilding (3) Everyday fans that support rebuilding “as is” (4) Everyday fans that support tanking These distinctions might seem useless, or trivial at best, but nearly every future value decision for the organization will find […]
Nelson, Davies, Anderson: The Importance of Mediocrity
Jimmy Nelson is currently 27 years old. Thus far in his career he’s pitched to a 5.08 DRA in 2014, 4.94 DRA in 2015, and 4.95 DRA thus far this season. While some have noted that Nelson has struggled this year, this is probably the pitcher he is, and will be going forward. A slightly […]
Game 83 Recap: Brewers 5 Nationals 2
The Brewers continued their season-long mastery of the Washington Nationals, this time using a couple of mid-late game home runs to establish an insurmountable deficit. According to the WTMJ broadcast, the Brewers won their season series against the Nationals for the first time since 2010. Top Play: Once again, the Brewers found themselves in the […]
Pitch Diversity Key to Successful Davies June
Placed in a questionable 2016 Brewers starting rotation, Zach Davies has formed into a pleasant surprise for Milwaukee. Save for Thursday’s rocky outing against the Dodgers, Davies shined in June. The 23-year-old righty’s June splits were highlighted by a 2.89 ERA (3.62 FIP) and 4.88 K/BB ratio. Prior to June, the slim sinkerballer posted an inflated […]
Game 78 Recap: Dodgers 8 Brewers 1
On the heels of Junior Guerra’s eight inning shutout gem versus the Dodgers, Zach Davies had one of his worst starts of the season. It was an unfortunate start, as Davies failed to make it out of the fifth inning for just the second time this season. Davies had also been on a nice 5 […]