For an MLB player, value has two elements: Production: A player can be considered valuable based on how well they perform on the field. Alternately, as advanced statistics and analytical tools emerge, a player can be considered valuable based on their underlying elements — stuff, mechanics, plate approach, command, etc. Both of these metrics, traditional […]
Tag: Junior Guerra
Selling While You’re Ahead
In just over a year at the helm as the Milwaukee Brewers’ general manager, David Stearns has shown an incredible ability to find value in places where no one thought to look. By buying low on Jonathan Villar, re-signing Hernan Perez, and betting against Keon Broxton’s strikeout problem, Stearns has accumulated assets without giving up […]
Hunting for Great Splitters 1
When the Brewers recently claimed RHP Blake Parker and RHP Steve Geltz off waivers, and signed RHP Luke Barker to a minor league deal within the span of a week, one similarity that bridged the moves was the presence of a splitter in each arsenal. Granted, Barker’s split was listed last on his self-produced scouting […]
How the Brewers Are (and Were) Constructed
For the past few weeks, our esteemed editor in chief, Nicholas Zettel has been covering a number of trades the Brewers have made over the past year. What Zettel is doing, in part, is looking at how this Brewers team has been constructed. I thought this was an interesting topic, and idea, so decided to […]
Zach Davies is the True 2016 Brewers Ace
According to ESPN.com, Zach Davies isn’t scheduled to make another start. Thus, ends his rookie season. Davies finished the year with a 4.35 RA9, 3.89 FIP, and 3.95 xFIP. None of these numbers will stand out; in fact, these numbers suggest that Davies had a mundane rookie campaign. But, Davies has a DRA of 3.56. […]
Age-31: A Singular Season
The Brewers announced that they would shut down RHP Junior Guerra for the year. Yesterday, BPMilwaukee’s Jack Moore covered Guerra’s pitching profile and rookie season. Although Guerra played his age-31 season, he is relatively new to baseball as a full-time starting pitcher; the righty pitched one of his highest career innings totals, reaching an apparent […]
Assessing Junior Guerra’s Rookie Campaign
The Brewers announced this past week that Junior Guerra’s season is over, thankfully not due to a aggravation of the injury that forced him to miss nearly a month, but simply due to the 31-year-old reaching an innings limit. The #2016BrewersAce finishes his first season as a major league starter with a stellar 2.81 ERA […]
Good for 80 Games
The Brewers are in the midst of a stunning September surge, one that could potentially find them playing themselves out of a 2017 Top 10 draft pick and — better yet — finding another MLB role from their pile of future values. This surge is stunning because thus far it’s come against the World Champion […]
Pricing Failed Tanks
Among Brewers fans, there might be approximately four groups: (1) Casual fans that will tune out rebuilding (2) Everyday fans that vocally oppose rebuilding (3) Everyday fans that support rebuilding “as is” (4) Everyday fans that support tanking These distinctions might seem useless, or trivial at best, but nearly every future value decision for the organization will find […]
Grading Future Guerra: Splits and Age
Junior Guerra is having a one-of-a-kind season all around. As previously discussed, the age-31 righty has started the most games during an age-31 starting pitcher in the divisional era (1969-present). Furthermore, with that age-31 record comes strike zone control that is also particularly rare. From 2000-2015, 30 of 101 qualified pitchers working in their age-31 […]